The classification of the democratic area in 2024

The reality is that Biden has a relatively small window to decide whether to run for re-election, especially given that Donald Trump appears to be the announced candidate in the Republican Party.

If Biden were to run, he would be a strong favorite to become the Democratic nominee and would almost certainly not face a serious primary battle. If Biden doesn’t run, however, it would be a terrible free-for-all without a clear front-runner.

Below, I’ve ranked 10 Democrats as the party’s presidential nominees in 2024. It’s still early — obviously — so these rankings are very exciting goals. (See my last ranking — from June — here.)
10. Roy Cooperr: Winning twice in a Republican state — with Trump on the ballot both times — is no easy feat. And there is significant precedent for a southern Democratic governor winning not only the nomination, but also the presidency. (Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter, to name two.) Cooper’s biggest problem is that he remains a little-known figure to many Democrats nationally. And according to Carolina Journal opinion editor Ray Nothstine: “Cooper is far from a prolific speaker and doesn’t appear to be particularly adept at retail politics like Clinton or Barack Obama.” (Previous ranking: 9)

9. Cory Booker: The New Jersey senator has two things going for him: a liberal record in the Senate and natural charisma. Problem? He had both of those things in his favor in the 2020 presidential primaries and never appeared as a factor. (Previous ranking: 8)

8. Gretchen Whitmer: Whitmer appears to be the favorite to win a second term as Michigan governor this fall in a race that looked far from a sure thing as recently as a year ago. A convincing win for Whitmer in November could serve as a springboard for a national bid in two years. Asked this summer about his interest in running in 2024, Whitmer said no: “I appreciate that people are flattered to even ask.” (Previous ranking: not ranked)
7. Amy Klobuchar: On paper, there’s a lot to like about Klobuchar. He’s a Midwestern moderate who did surprisingly well — he had a moment in New Hampshire! — in 2020 primary school. There are still concerns about how he treats his staff, but Klobuchar proved resilient during the last campaign. (Previous ranking: 7)
6. Bernie Sanders: Recent polls have made one thing abundantly clear: Democratic voters are concerned that Biden is too old to fulfill all the duties required of a president. Now consider that Sanders, at 81, is two years older than Biden. Sanders remains popular and has a clear following among progressives. But it looks like the age factor will be really important this time. (Previous ranking: 3)

5. Elizabeth Warren: Asked about 2024, Warren said a) she expects Biden to run again and b) she’ll run for re-election to the Senate seat. But should Biden decide not to seek a second term, it’s hard to see the Massachusetts senator taking advantage of another national bid. And it would be good for running. The niche he carved out in 2020 — as a policy-driven candidate with a specific set of proposals for every problem facing the country — could be attractive to Democrats looking for the next post-Biden. (Previous ranking: 6)

4. Gavin Newsom: What we can say for sure is that if Biden doesn’t run, the governor of California surely will. His latest bet — paying for billboards announcing abortion is legal in seven Republican-led states — has a presidential bid written all over it. Newsom is running for a second term this fall and is using California as something of an incubator for liberal politics. And unlike many people ranked lower than him on this list, there is no doubt that he can raise the tens of millions of dollars needed to finance the national bid. (Previous ranking: 5)

3. Pete Buttigieg: Buttigieg’s success as Biden’s transportation secretary nearly faltered last week, as a rail strike seemed a certainty. But with the president’s intervention, the strike was averted and Buttigieg’s reputation was intact. There is no doubt that Buttigieg is the talent of his generation, politically speaking. So why isn’t it ranked higher? He still needs to show his ability to appeal to non-white voters, something he struggled with in 2020. (Previous ranking: 4)

2. Kamala Harris: Very little news has come out of the Vice President’s office lately, which bodes well for him and his future political visions. It seems that for a while there Harris was constantly in the news because of a senior staff member who was leaving or some other unrest in his office. While his running mate has been pretty rocky, Harris would be the first of his kind if Biden declines to run again. Harris remains popular among black voters, who, as Biden’s 2020 nomination made clear, play a big role in choosing the party’s standard-bearer. (Previous ranking: 2)

1. Joe Biden: I think the President is still really undecided whether he will run again. His team is putting the pieces together so if he decides to run he can be sure he doesn’t start behind. But Biden is known for taking a long time to decide even on small decisions. And this is no small decision. How long after the midterms can Biden reasonably wait to announce his intentions? (Previous ranking: 1)